§1 · MECHANISM DESIGN
Mechanism Design: Why a Pre-Committed Ladder
The first pricing decision is not a number but a mechanism: is the price set by rules published in advance, or at the issuer's discretion as market conditions move?
POSX chose the former: the thirty-six-tier structure of prices and allocations is published before the sale opens and locked into the contract, and the price path is not adjusted to market conditions; the increment band sits wholly inside the externally committed 4%–10% envelope. The grounds are two independent results from macroeconomics and operations research.
Theory · Time consistency
Kydland & Prescott (1977) proved that, facing participants with forward-looking expectations, period-by-period discretionary optimization is dominated overall by pre-committed rules — and the rules should be simple, public, and such that deviations are detectable. This result was the core contribution behind the 2004 Nobel Prize in economics. Mapped onto a sale: if buyers expect the issuer to soften the increments whenever sales stall, the rational move is collective waiting, and sales momentum destroys itself.
Theory · Strategic consumers
Su (2007, Management Science) proved that facing strategically waiting customers, prices should rise over time to suppress unproductive waiting; Aviv & Pazgal (2008, M&SOM) further proved that pre-announced pricing beats contingent pricing, with revenue losses of roughly 20% for misjudging buyers' strategic behavior; Xie & Shugan (2001, Marketing Science) gave the precondition for advance selling — future higher prices must be credible, and when they are, advance-selling profit can nearly double. Together the three point one way: an ascending ladder draws its entire force from its credibility.
Mechanism choice: P = (P₁, …, P₃₆) published and contract-locked at t = 0 ⇒ ∀t: E[future P] is known; waiting carries no information valueSuccessful precedents and the POSX implementation
Aethir (2024) ran its ladder through 53 pre-deployed pricing contracts, selling $65M in the first hour; XAI's 40-tier ladder switches price automatically on sell-out via smart contract; Filecoin (2017) pre-published a price function and completed a $205.8M sale within a month. All eight comparable sales verified in the research archive used pre-committed structures, without exception. POSX is congruent with them: the ladder is published before the sale opens and locked in contract, and any subsequent arrangements follow the pre-published rules and official announcements.